Zeitreihenanalyse - Übung 7
From StatWiki
Exercise
Test whether a seasonal trend component is present in the Amazon returns.
Call:
lm(formula = r ~ cos(omega * t) + sin(omega * t) + cos(2 * omega *
t) + sin(2 * omega * t) + cos(3 * omega * t) + sin(3 * omega *
t) + cos(4 * omega * t) + sin(4 * omega * t) + cos(5 * omega *
t) + sin(5 * omega * t) + cos(6 * omega * t))
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-0.48724 -0.10489 -0.01984 0.11082 0.78618
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 0.0239023 0.0178812 1.337 0.184
cos(omega * t) 0.0041200 0.0252879 0.163 0.871
sin(omega * t) 0.0115978 0.0252879 0.459 0.647
cos(2 * omega * t) 0.0228528 0.0252879 0.904 0.368
sin(2 * omega * t) -0.0325973 0.0252879 -1.289 0.200
cos(3 * omega * t) -0.0004001 0.0252879 -0.016 0.987
sin(3 * omega * t) -0.0213723 0.0252879 -0.845 0.400
cos(4 * omega * t) -0.0183579 0.0252879 -0.726 0.469
sin(4 * omega * t) 0.0100402 0.0252879 0.397 0.692
cos(5 * omega * t) -0.0291981 0.0252879 -1.155 0.250
sin(5 * omega * t) 0.0105670 0.0252879 0.418 0.677
cos(6 * omega * t) 0.0118431 0.0178812 0.662 0.509
Residual standard error: 0.2099 on 126 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.04522, Adjusted R-squared: -0.03813
F-statistic: 0.5425 on 11 and 126 DF, p-value: 0.8709
Exercise
pdf(rpdf)
rsa=readdataSK("RSAFSNA.csv", "csv")
y.log=log(rsa$VALUE)
y.diff <- diff(y.log); plot(y.diff,xlab="",ylab="",type="l")
n=nrow(rsa)
m <- floor(n/2) # number of frequencies
# floor = the largest integer not greater than
y.dft <- fft(y.diff) # use the fast Fourier transform
y.dft <- y.dft[2:(m+1)] # excl. k=0, k=m+1, m+2, …,n-1
y.p <- (1/(2*pi*n))*(Mod(y.dft))^2 # Mod = modulus
f <- (2*pi/n)*(1:m) # vector of m Fourier frequencies
plot(f,y.p,type="l",xlab="",ylab="",ylim=c(0,0.04), axes=T)
# x=pretty(f)
# axis(1,f[1:5],sapply(1:m, function(x) parse(text=paste(x,"*frac(2*pi, n)",sep="")))[1:5],padj=0.5)
#
